Wednesday, April 28, 2010

Causation and necessity

We can distinguish two types of causal statements: general causal statements and singular ones. General statements relate types of phenomena (for instance: smoking causes cancer), whereas singular causal statements connect individual occurrences (for example: the cause of the sinking of the Titanic was that it collided with an iceberg). While the two categories of causal claims are undoubtedly related, their relation is not straightforward. It may seem that general causal statements of the form “Phenomenon A causes phenomenon B” can be reduced to the following singular claim: “For all x, if x is of type A, then x causes some y of type B”. But this won’t work. From the fact that smoking causes cancer it does not follow that every smoker will suffer from cancer. General causal claims are very often statistical only, and their truth is typically hedged by the ceteris paribus condition. On the other hand, if we wanted to define singular causal claims of the type “x causes y” with the help of the general formula “The type of phenomena A to which x belongs causes the type of phenomena B containing y”, we would encounter an immediate problem connected with the fact that each individual event can be classified into many distinct types. In the following we will restrict our analysis to singular claims only, and therefore we will interpret causation as a relation between individual objects.
It may be useful to start an analysis of causation from the following questions:

(1) What are the relata of the causal relation?
(2) What are formal properties of the causal relation?
(3) What is the temporal relation between a cause and its effect?

(1) Typically three categories of objects are regarded as being capable of standing in the causal relation: things, events and facts. One natural way of speaking about causal links seems to identify causes as things. For instance, we can say that John smashed a window glass with a stone, and a car hit a pedestrian. This suggests that causes are things (John, car) while effects are events (shattering the window, hitting the pedestrian). But clearly this is an oversimplified way of speaking. If John is busy talking on the phone, there is no shattering, although the purported cause (John) is still present. If the car is parked in a garage, no pedestrian is in danger of being hit by it. Strictly speaking, it is not John but his throwing the stone that causes the breaking, and it is not the car but its particular movement that causes the hitting of the pedestrian. This observation leads to the most commonly accepted conception of causation, according to which both causes and effects are events (throwing the stone – shattering the glass, movement of the car – hitting the pedestrian).

However, some philosophers insist that this account is too restrictive, as it does not make room for cases of negative causation. Sometimes it seems natural to single out absences of events rather than events themselves as causal factors contributing to a given effect. We say that the lack of attention of the driver was a cause of the crash, and that the absence of sprinklers contributed to the fire. But there are no negative events (in Kim’s conception, events are property attributions, but it is customary not to admit negative properties). In order to admit negative causation (sometimes also called causation by omission) it is proposed that causes and effects be facts, not events. Facts are just ontological counterparts of true statements, so there is no problem with the assumption that there are negative facts corresponding to negative statements. But critics point out that negative causation is really not necessary, and moreover that admitting it opens the door to many unintuitive cases of spurious causation. It may be claimed that underlying every case of apparent negative causation there is an instance of positive causation (for instance the driver’s lack of attention could have been actually his talking on the phone). And we tend to dismiss statements of the sort “The fact that I had not been struck by lightning caused me to survive” if there was no reason to expect that the lightning was imminent.

(2) It should be clear that the causal relation is not reflexive (there are events that don’t cause themselves). But is it irreflexive (no event is a cause of itself)? That depends. If we admit the possibility of causal loops (as in time travel), and we agree that causality is transitive, then there may be cases of self-causation (x causes y and y causes x, therefore x causes x). Similarly, causality is not symmetric, but it is open to debate whether it is asymmetric (if there are causal loops, clearly it is not asymmetric). The case for transitivity looks plausible enough, but recently this feature of causality came under attack. Some philosophers point out that there are cases which seem to violate the transitivity requirement, such as the following one. A bomb had been planted at the door of a politician’s house, but luckily it was spotted by the security and defused. It is natural to assume that the placing of the bomb was a cause of its defusing (if there hadn’t been a bomb, there wouldn’t have been the act of defusing), and the defusing of the bomb causes the politician to survive. But it is unnatural to say that the placing of the bomb was a cause of the politician’s survival (clearly the counterfactual “If the bomb had not been planted, the politician would not have survived” is false).

(3) It is typically assumed that a cause happens earlier (or, at least, not later) than its effect. But, again, if we want to admit that it is conceptually possible to have backward causation, we have to reject this requirement.

The main question we have to ask now is “What is causation?”. Answers to this question can be given in the form of a reductive analysis, explicating the causal relation in terms of some more fundamental concepts. We will start with the most famous reductive analysis of causation given by David Hume. Hume observes that it is an uncontroversial fact that causation displays the following two properties: the cause and the effect are contiguous in space and time (they “touch” each other), and the cause temporally precedes the effect. Actually, both claims can be questioned. The issue of temporal precedence has been already mentioned in point (3). As for the contiguity, at best it can be applied to direct causes only. Clearly there is a temporal and spatial gap between my act of hurling the stone and the smashing of the window. But it can be claimed that there has to be a chain of events contiguous in space and time leading from the throwing to the breaking. Still, this does not seem to be conceptually necessary. There is nothing inconsistent in considering causal links acting at a distance with no intermediate stages. Actually, this is how gravitational interaction between massive bodies can be assumed to work in Newtonian mechanics. So it looks like the two conditions proposed by Hume are not necessary for causation to occur. But we have to agree with Hume that they are not sufficient either, for there are plenty of events following one another which are not causally connected.

Hume then asks, what should be added in order to have a sufficient condition for the presence of a causal link. One typical response is that the cause has to be necessarily linked with its effect, or in other words, that if the cause occurs, the effect must occur. But Hume famously questions this. Firstly, he notices that the purported necessity cannot be of the logical kind, for no contradiction arises from the supposition that a given event does not produce its expected effect. I can imagine without contradiction the stone magically passing through the glass, or bouncing off it. But perhaps the necessity connecting causes and effects is of a different kind (nomological, or physical). Hume’s response is that no such necessity is given to us in sensory experience. We never perceive two events as connected, only as conjoined.

Clearly, Hume’s criticism of the necessary character of causation has its roots in his version of empiricism. Hume insists that every meaningful concept should be traced back to some sensory experience (‘impression’). But this requirement may be seen as overly restrictive. Hume’s radical empiricism does not square well with modern science which commonly postulates the existence of unobservable objects and properties. According to Hume’s criterion, along with the notion of necessity we should abandon such concepts as that of atoms, electrons, electromagnetic field, etc., as they cannot be supported by any direct sensory data either. On the other hand, more moderate versions of empiricism can in principle accommodate the notion of a necessary causal link, if it is treated as a theoretical concept used to make empirical predictions and explain observable facts.


Reading:

B. Garrett, "Causation", pp. 53-66, What is this thing called metaphysics?

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